Shuai Zhang vs Naomi Osaka — Cincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
Shuai Zhang
CHN
Shuai Zhang
#54WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Zhang S.
6-4 7-5
Osaka N.
Zhang S.
672
Osaka N.
450

Shuai Zhang defeated Naomi Osaka 6-4 7-5 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Shuai Zhang narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-10-01BeijingQFhardNaomi Osaka3-6 6-4 7-5
2018-05-07MadridR64clayShuai Zhang6-1 7-5
2017-04-03CharlestonR32clayNaomi Osaka6-4 6-4
2017-03-06Indian WellsR64hardNaomi Osaka6-4 6-2
2016-09-12Japan Open TokyoR16hardShuai Zhang6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang S.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zhang S.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhang S.Osaka N.
17
Serve
70
58
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Zhang S.Osaka N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 118). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zhang S.Osaka N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
91
Break points saved·Dominant
55
96
Break points won·Clear edge
83
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zhang S.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Osaka N.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1695
Surface ELO
7.6+227 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.4
Country comfort
6.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zhang S.Osaka N.
Freshness·Slight edge
96
85

Zhang S.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw

Final
Garcia C.
Kvitova P.
6-26-4
Semi-finals
Kvitova P.
Keys M.
6-766-46-3
Garcia C.
Sabalenka A.[6]
6-24-66-1
Quarter-finals
Garcia C.
Pegula J.[7]
6-17-5
Sabalenka A.[6]
Zhang S.
6-47-61
Keys M.
Rybakina E.
6-26-4
Kvitova P.
Tomljanovic A.
6-26-3
R16
Keys M.
Swiatek I.[1]
6-36-4
Tomljanovic A.
Kudermetova V.
3-67-646-3
Kvitova P.
Jabeur O.[5]
6-14-66-0
Pegula J.[7]
Raducanu E.[10]
7-56-4
Garcia C.
Mertens E.
6-47-5
Sabalenka A.[6]
Rogers S.
6-46-726-4
Zhang S.
Kontaveit A.[2]
2-66-46-4
Rybakina E.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-26-4
R32
Swiatek I.[1]
Stephens S.
6-47-5
Riske Amritraj A.
Bouzkova M.
W/O
Keys M.
Ostapenko J.[16]
6-47-5
Rybakina E.
Muguruza G.[8]
6-36-1
Tomljanovic A.
Badosa P.[3]
6-736-06-2
Kvitova P.
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Jabeur O.[5]
Mcnally C.
6-34-67-67
Pegula J.[7]
Kostyuk M.
6-756-16-2
Garcia C.
Sakkari M.[4]
7-626-766-1
Sabalenka A.[6]
Kalinskaya A.
6-34-1
Zhang S.
Alexandrova E.
6-36-4
Kudermetova V.
Halep S.[15]
W/O
Rogers S.
Anisimova A.
W/O
Raducanu E.[10]
Azarenka V.
6-06-2
Mertens E.
Pliskova K.[14]
7-636-3
Kontaveit A.[2]
Martincova T.
3-67-56-4
R64
Cirstea S.
Bencic B.[12]
6-26-736-4
Bouzkova M.
Gauff C.[11]
7-51-0
Mertens E.
Kalinina A.
6-16-1
Kalinskaya A.
Trevisan M.
7-627-5
Azarenka V.
Kanepi K.
6-34-66-3
Stephens S.
Cornet A.
6-16-0
Keys M.
Putintseva Y.
7-56-3
Ostapenko J.[16]
Haddad Maia B.
6-46-4
Riske Amritraj A.
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-17-62
Rybakina E.
Sherif M.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Townsend T.
6-43-67-5
Kudermetova V.
Krejcikova B.
6-36-3
Halep S.[15]
Potapova A.
6-43-66-3
Mcnally C.
Sasnovich A.
6-33-67-62
Kostyuk M.
Giorgi C.
6-45-76-4
Raducanu E.[10]
Williams S.
6-46-0
Pliskova K.[14]
Williams V.
7-56-1
Garcia C.
Martic P.
6-36-3
Rogers S.
Kenin S.
6-26-1
Anisimova A.
Kasatkina D.[9]
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.
Fernandez L.[13]
6-47-5
Zhang S.
Osaka N.
6-47-5
Martincova T.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-746-46-3
Kvitova P.
Teichmann J.
6-727-666-3