Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jannik Sinner — Canada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022
hard
Jannik Sinner
ITA7
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Carreno Busta P.
6-2 6-4
Sinner J.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Sinner J.
240

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Jannik Sinner 6-2 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 32. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-21Miami MastersR32hardJannik Sinner5-7 7-5 7-5
2020-02-10RotterdamQFhardPablo Carreno Busta7-5 3-6 7-6(6)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Sinner J.
21
Serve
100
44
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Sinner J.
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
7.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Sinner J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
100
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Dominant
61
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Sinner J.
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1744
Surface ELO
10.0+519 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2320
4.6
H2H
5.4
4.6
Surface form
6.9
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Sinner J.
Freshness·Dominant
92
43

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Carreno Busta P.
Hurkacz H.[8]
3-66-36-3
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ruud C.[4]
5-76-36-2
Carreno Busta P.
Evans D.
7-56-776-2
Quarter-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Kyrgios N.
7-646-756-1
Ruud C.[4]
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
6-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Draper J.
7-646-1
Evans D.
Paul T.
1-66-36-4
R16
Kyrgios N.
De Minaur A.
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ramos A.
6-766-27-63
Ruud C.[4]
Bautista Agut R.[14]
6-747-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Norrie C.[9]
6-36-4
Carreno Busta P.
Sinner J.[7]
6-26-4
Evans D.
Fritz T.[10]
7-651-67-5
Paul T.
Cilic M.[13]
6-46-2
Draper J.
Monfils G.[17]
6-20-2
R32
Kyrgios N.
Medvedev D.[1]
6-726-46-2
De Minaur A.
Dimitrov G.[15]
7-647-5
Ramos A.
Schwartzman D.[12]
6-46-2
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-746-2
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Nishioka Y.
7-666-4
Sinner J.[7]
Mannarino A.
2-66-46-2
Carreno Busta P.
Rune H.
6-06-3
Draper J.
Tsitsipas S.[3]
7-57-64
Evans D.
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Fritz T.[10]
Tiafoe F.
5-76-16-4
Monfils G.[17]
Cressy M.
7-6107-66
Bautista Agut R.[14]
Brooksby J.
7-56-1
Paul T.
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-747-676-3
Ruud C.[4]
Molcan A.
7-636-3
Norrie C.[9]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-2
Cilic M.[13]
Khachanov K.
6-36-2
R64
Cressy M.
Karatsev A.
6-46-4
Kyrgios N.
Baez S.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.
Shapovalov D.
7-57-64
Dimitrov G.[15]
Galarneau A.
6-47-5
Schwartzman D.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-66-36-4
Ramos A.
Goffin D.
7-626-2
Molcan A.
Mcdonald M.
7-616-4
Brooksby J.
Bublik A.
6-26-3
Bautista Agut R.[14]
Giron M.
7-656-3
Norrie C.[9]
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Kecmanovic M.
6-17-5
Nishioka Y.
Paire B.
6-26-3
Mannarino A.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-3
Carreno Busta P.
Berrettini M.[11]
6-36-2
Monfils G.[17]
Martinez P.
7-643-66-2
Draper J.
Gaston H.
6-26-3
Evans D.
Krajinovic F.
6-21-66-0
Tiafoe F.
Bonzi B.
6-767-56-3
Fritz T.[10]
Murray A.
6-16-3
Cilic M.[13]
Coric B.
6-36-2
Khachanov K.
Cerundolo F.
7-645-76-3
Paul T.
Pospisil V.
6-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Wawrinka S.
6-33-66-3
Rune H.
Fognini F.
6-37-5