Pablo Carreno Busta vs Daniel Evans — Canada Masters Semi-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Semi-final
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022
hard
Daniel Evans
GBR
Daniel Evans
#501ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
Carreno Busta P.
7-5 6-7 6-2
Evans D.
Carreno Busta P.
76762
Evans D.
57921

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Daniel Evans 7-5 6-7 6-2 in the Canada Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Evans D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Evans D.
21
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Evans D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Evans D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
73
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Even
61
61
Deciding sets·Even
80
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Evans D.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+182 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1562
6.8Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1588
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Evans D.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Evans D.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Carreno Busta P.
Hurkacz H.[8]
3-66-36-3
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ruud C.[4]
5-76-36-2
Carreno Busta P.
Evans D.
7-56-776-2
Quarter-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Kyrgios N.
7-646-756-1
Ruud C.[4]
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
6-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Draper J.
7-646-1
Evans D.
Paul T.
1-66-36-4
R16
Kyrgios N.
De Minaur A.
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ramos A.
6-766-27-63
Ruud C.[4]
Bautista Agut R.[14]
6-747-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Norrie C.[9]
6-36-4
Carreno Busta P.
Sinner J.[7]
6-26-4
Evans D.
Fritz T.[10]
7-651-67-5
Paul T.
Cilic M.[13]
6-46-2
Draper J.
Monfils G.[17]
6-20-2
R32
Kyrgios N.
Medvedev D.[1]
6-726-46-2
De Minaur A.
Dimitrov G.[15]
7-647-5
Ramos A.
Schwartzman D.[12]
6-46-2
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-746-2
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Nishioka Y.
7-666-4
Sinner J.[7]
Mannarino A.
2-66-46-2
Carreno Busta P.
Rune H.
6-06-3
Draper J.
Tsitsipas S.[3]
7-57-64
Evans D.
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Fritz T.[10]
Tiafoe F.
5-76-16-4
Monfils G.[17]
Cressy M.
7-6107-66
Bautista Agut R.[14]
Brooksby J.
7-56-1
Paul T.
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-747-676-3
Ruud C.[4]
Molcan A.
7-636-3
Norrie C.[9]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-2
Cilic M.[13]
Khachanov K.
6-36-2
R64
Cressy M.
Karatsev A.
6-46-4
Kyrgios N.
Baez S.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.
Shapovalov D.
7-57-64
Dimitrov G.[15]
Galarneau A.
6-47-5
Schwartzman D.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-66-36-4
Ramos A.
Goffin D.
7-626-2
Molcan A.
Mcdonald M.
7-616-4
Brooksby J.
Bublik A.
6-26-3
Bautista Agut R.[14]
Giron M.
7-656-3
Norrie C.[9]
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Kecmanovic M.
6-17-5
Nishioka Y.
Paire B.
6-26-3
Mannarino A.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-3
Carreno Busta P.
Berrettini M.[11]
6-36-2
Monfils G.[17]
Martinez P.
7-643-66-2
Draper J.
Gaston H.
6-26-3
Evans D.
Krajinovic F.
6-21-66-0
Tiafoe F.
Bonzi B.
6-767-56-3
Fritz T.[10]
Murray A.
6-16-3
Cilic M.[13]
Coric B.
6-36-2
Khachanov K.
Cerundolo F.
7-645-76-3
Paul T.
Pospisil V.
6-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Wawrinka S.
6-33-66-3
Rune H.
Fognini F.
6-37-5