Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jack DraperCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022
hard
#145ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
Carreno Busta P.
7-6 6-1
Draper J.
Carreno Busta P.
7762
Draper J.
6410

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Jack Draper 7-6 6-1 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

  • Match story: Pablo Carreno Busta came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Draper J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Draper J.
21
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
8.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
61
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
96
Tiebreaks·Even
95
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1744
Surface ELO
6.9+39 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
7.2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.4
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Draper J.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%