Pavel Kotov vs Matteo Arnaldi — San Marino CH Final

San Marino CH · CHALLENGER · Final
Pavel Kotov
RUS2
Pavel Kotov
#246ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022
clay
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA8
Matteo Arnaldi
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Kotov P.
7-6 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Kotov P.
7762
Arnaldi M.
6540

Pavel Kotov defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 6-4 in the San Marino CH final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kotov P.Arnaldi M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.4
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kotov P.Arnaldi M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
78
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Dominant
13
51
Deciding sets·Even
82
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kotov P.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Arnaldi M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1529
Surface ELO
6.8+302 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1830
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
4.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kotov P.Arnaldi M.
Freshness·
—
97

Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Kotov P.[2]
Arnaldi M.[8]
7-656-4
Semi-finals
Kotov P.[2]
Cecchinato M.[5]
3-67-56-1
Arnaldi M.[8]
Jianu F.
6-17-5
Quarter-finals
Kotov P.[2]
Weis A.
7-56-0
Arnaldi M.[8]
Marozsan F.
6-46-2
Jianu F.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-26-4
Cecchinato M.[5]
Vacherot V.
7-636-1
R16
Arnaldi M.[8]
Neumayer L.
6-36-4
Kotov P.[2]
Janvier M.
6-46-3
Weis A.
Giustino L.
6-27-5
Cecchinato M.[5]
Forti F.
6-737-666-2
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Haase R.
2-66-16-3
Jianu F.
Taberner C.[1]
6-46-3
Vacherot V.
De Jong J.
6-26-3
Marozsan F.
Gigante M.
6-26-2
R32
Weis A.
Skatov T.
6-36-1
Giustino L.
Serdarusic N.[7]
7-604-66-3
Vacherot V.
Zeppieri G.[3]
2-67-626-1
De Jong J.
Trungelliti M.
6-36-4
Forti F.
Fatic N.
6-36-2
Cecchinato M.[5]
Bellucci M.
6-26-1
Neumayer L.
Gakhov I.
6-27-64
Marozsan F.
Cobolli F.[4]
7-656-4
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
Muller A.[6]
3-66-36-0
Haase R.
Virtanen O.
7-636-3
Jianu F.
Gulbis E.
7-646-0
Taberner C.[1]
Roca Batalla O.
6-42-66-2
Kotov P.[2]
Durasovic V.
6-16-1
Janvier M.
Prihodko O.
6-13-67-5
Arnaldi M.[8]
Gaio F.
6-26-0
Gigante M.
Sels J.
6-26-3