Juncheng Shang vs Roman SafiullinLexington CH Quarter-final

Lexington CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#274ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 August 2022
hard
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Shang J.
0-6 6-4 7-5
Safiullin R.
Shang J.
0672
Safiullin R.
6451

Juncheng Shang defeated Roman Safiullin 0-6 6-4 7-5 in the Lexington CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Safiullin came in ranked #132, but Juncheng Shang had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Juncheng Shang extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-18ChengduR16hardJuncheng Shang5-7 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Shang J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Serve advantage — Safiullin R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shang J.Safiullin R.
34
Serve
18
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
68
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Even
45
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1698
Surface ELO
5.2+5 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1746
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1750
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
8.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
5.5
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast