Juncheng Shang vs Aleksandar KovacevicLexington CH Semi-final

Lexington CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#274ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 August 2022
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Shang J.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Kovacevic A.
Shang J.
37762
Kovacevic A.
66541

Juncheng Shang defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 3-6 7-6 6-4 in the Lexington CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Juncheng Shang came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Juncheng Shang extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR128hardJuncheng Shang6-4 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Shang J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shang J.Kovacevic A.
34
Serve
52
18
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
9.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
53
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
45
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+87 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1611
6.6Overall Elo 1746
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1636
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
7.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
4.3
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Kovacevic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast