Daria Kasatkina vs Elena RybakinaSan Jose Round of 32

San Jose · WTA · Round of 32
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 August 2022
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Kasatkina D.
1-6 6-2 6-0
Rybakina E.
Kasatkina D.
1662
Rybakina E.
6201

Daria Kasatkina defeated Elena Rybakina 1-6 6-2 6-0 in the San Jose round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-05Abu DhabiFhardElena Rybakina6-1 6-4
2023-08-07MontrealQFhardElena Rybakina5-7 7-5 7-6(8)
2021-01-06Abu DhabiR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-4
2020-10-19OstravaR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Rybakina E.
0
Serve
100
95
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
59%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
60%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
92
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
98
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
93
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.3Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
9.7+353 Hard Elo edge
0.4Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
9.6Overall Elo 2122
4.6
H2H
5.4
4.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast