Mattia Bellucci vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliCordenons CH Round of 32

Cordenons CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#80ATP
1720ELO
1610Clay ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 August 2022
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Bellucci M.
6-2 6-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Bellucci M.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
240

Mattia Bellucci defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-2 6-4 in the Cordenons CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bellucci M.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Dominant
10
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1610
Surface ELO
7.2+131 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast