Aidan Mchugh vs Sho ShimabukuroWinnipeg CH Round of 32

Winnipeg CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#489ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 July 2022
hard
#95ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Mchugh A.
6-3 4-6 6-1
Shimabukuro S.
Mchugh A.
6462
Shimabukuro S.
3611

Aidan Mchugh defeated Sho Shimabukuro 6-3 4-6 6-1 in the Winnipeg CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #95.

Key context

  • Match story: Aidan Mchugh came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mchugh A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Shimabukuro S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mchugh A.

Serve advantage — Shimabukuro S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
42
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
88
Break points won·Dominant
5
31
Deciding sets·Even
49
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
3.4
Minutes 14d
6.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Shimabukuro S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast