Jannik Sinner vs Roberto Carballes BaenaUmag Quarter-final

Umag · ATP · Quarter-final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 July 2022
clay
#163ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Sinner J.
6-4 7-6
Carballes Baena R.
Sinner J.
6772
Carballes Baena R.
4650

Jannik Sinner defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 7-6 in the Umag quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR64clayJannik Sinner3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Carballes Baena R.
99
Serve
91
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
93
Break points won·Dominant
100
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+604 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1612
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1632
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.9
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
100

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Carballes Baena R.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast