Francesco Maestrelli vs Flavio CobolliVerona CH Quarter-final

Verona CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#128ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 July 2022
clay
#10ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Maestrelli F.
6-3 6-2
Cobolli F.
Maestrelli F.
662
Cobolli F.
320

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2 in the Verona CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, but Francesco Maestrelli had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Serve advantage — Cobolli F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Maestrelli F.Cobolli F.
Serve
54
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Clear edge
14
35
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.4Clay Elo 1466
Surface ELO
9.6+396 Clay Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1896
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.9
Minutes 14d
6.6
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
61

Maestrelli F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cobolli F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast