Francisco Cerundolo vs Pablo Carreno BustaBastad Semi-final

Bastad · ATP · Semi-final
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 July 2022
clay
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Cerundolo F.
6-3 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Cerundolo F.
662
Carreno Busta P.
320

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-2 in the Bastad semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo F.Carreno Busta P.
23
Serve
100
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Dominant
86
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
80
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.8+102 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1767
6.9Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
4.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
2.0
Prev. match
9.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
92

Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%