Sebastian Baez vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaBastad Round of 16

Bastad · ATP · Round of 16
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 July 2022
clay
#23ATP
1893ELO
1813Clay ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Baez S.
6-2 6-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Baez S.
662
Davidovich Fokina A.
230

Sebastian Baez defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-3 in the Bastad round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Davidovich Fokina A.
1
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
91
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Slight edge
86
95
Deciding sets·Even
88
91
Tiebreaks·Even
83
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
6.4+95 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1893
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
5.6
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
2.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
75

Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%