Francesco Maestrelli vs Alexandre MullerTodi CH Round of 32

Todi CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 July 2022
clay
#132ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Maestrelli F.
3-6 7-6 6-1
Muller A.
Maestrelli F.
37762
Muller A.
66211

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Alexandre Muller 3-6 7-6 6-1 in the Todi CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexandre Muller came in ranked #132, but Francesco Maestrelli had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Muller A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
94
Break points won·Dominant
14
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
95
Tiebreaks·Even
80
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1466
Surface ELO
7.3+162 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
7.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
8.7
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Muller A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast