Jelle Sels vs Matteo ArnaldiTodi CH Round of 32

Todi CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#524ATP
1313ELO
1283Clay ELO
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 July 2022
clay
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Sels J.
6-3 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Sels J.
662
Arnaldi M.
340

Jelle Sels defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-4 in the Todi CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Jelle Sels closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sels J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sels J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
78
Break points saved·Dominant
61
97
Break points won·Dominant
4
51
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1283
Surface ELO
10.0+548 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1313
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1830
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
6.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Sels J.: 20 days rest · Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast