Alexander Shevchenko vs Shintaro MochizukiMilan CH Quarter-final

Milan CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
1669ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 June 2022
clay
#115ATP
1475ELO
1433Clay ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Shevchenko A.
6-3 6-1
Mochizuki S.
Shevchenko A.
662
Mochizuki S.
310

Alexander Shevchenko defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-1 in the Milan CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Shevchenko came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alexander Shevchenko extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQ1clayAlexander Shevchenko6-7(2) 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shevchenko A.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Shevchenko A.Mochizuki S.
Serve
48
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
74
Break points won·Slight edge
60
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
47
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+192 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1433
7.2Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1475
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
5.3
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Shevchenko A.: 15 days rest · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast