Federico Coria vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Lyon Round of 16

Lyon · ATP · Round of 16
Federico Coria
ARG
Federico Coria
#783ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 May 2022
clay
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP2
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Coria F.
7-5 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Coria F.
762
Carreno Busta P.
530

Federico Coria defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-5 6-3 in the Lyon round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Coria F.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Coria F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Coria F.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Coria F.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
78
Break points saved·Dominant
71
97
Break points won·Slight edge
72
61
Deciding sets·Even
78
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Coria F.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Carreno Busta P.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1515
Surface ELO
7.3+251 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
6.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Coria F.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
92

Coria F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Norrie C.[1]
Molcan A.
6-36-736-1
Semi-finals
Norrie C.[1]
Rune H.
6-25-76-4
Molcan A.
De Minaur A.[4]
7-626-2
Quarter-finals
De Minaur A.[4]
Watanuki Y.
6-40-0
Molcan A.
Coria F.
6-36-2
Rune H.
Guinard M.
3-66-36-4
Norrie C.[1]
Baez S.[7]
6-44-67-5
R16
Guinard M.
Mmoh M.
4-66-47-5
Baez S.[7]
Otte O.
5-76-46-2
Norrie C.[1]
Cerundolo F.
6-46-4
Molcan A.
Khachanov K.[5]
6-27-64
Rune H.
Mannarino A.
6-46-3
Watanuki Y.
Kwon S.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Humbert U.
1-66-36-2
Coria F.
Carreno Busta P.[2]
7-56-3
R32
Rune H.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-63
Cerundolo F.
Duckworth J.
6-23-66-3
Kwon S.
Bedene A.
4-67-646-0
Guinard M.
Gaston H.
6-46-756-2
Molcan A.
Tsonga J.
6-46-4
Otte O.
Pouille L.
6-36-1
Baez S.[7]
Etcheverry T.
6-26-1
Mannarino A.
Karatsev A.[6]
7-676-4
Watanuki Y.
Martinez P.[8]
6-726-46-2
Humbert U.
Barrere G.
6-36-4
Khachanov K.[5]
Simon G.
6-16-4
Coria F.
Altmaier D.
6-33-66-3