Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael NadalRome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#39ATP
1771ELO
1676Clay ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 May 2022
clay
40 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
Shapovalov D.
1-6 7-5 6-2
Nadal R.
Shapovalov D.
1762
Nadal R.
6521

Denis Shapovalov defeated Rafael Nadal 1-6 7-5 6-2 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Nadal came in leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending the title. Denis Shapovalov narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-17Australian OpenQFhardRafael Nadal6-3 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-3
2021-05-10Rome MastersR16clayRafael Nadal3-6 6-4 7-6(3)
2019-11-24Davis Cup Finals F: CAN vs ESPRRhardRafael Nadal6-3 7-6(7)
2018-05-14Rome MastersR16clayRafael Nadal6-4 6-1
2017-08-07Canada MastersR16hardDenis Shapovalov3-6 6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Nadal R.

Nadal R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve advantage — Nadal R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.2
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
97
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
71
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
7.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
5.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Shapovalov D.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 45%