Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey RublevMadrid Masters Quarter-final

Madrid Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#87ATP
1833ELO
1841Clay ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 May 2022
clay
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Tsitsipas S.
6-3 2-6 6-4
Rublev A.
Tsitsipas S.
6262
Rublev A.
3641

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Andrey Rublev 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the Madrid Masters quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 6–5, defending last year's round of 16. Stefanos Tsitsipas narrowed the head-to-head to 6–6.

Key context

Head to head

56
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16DohaQFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 7-6(2)
2022-11-14Tour FinalsRRhardAndrey Rublev3-6 6-3 6-2
2022-10-03AstanaSFhardStefanos Tsitsipas4-6 6-4 6-3
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-3
2021-03-01RotterdamSFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 7-6(2)
2020-11-16Tour FinalsRRhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-1 4-6 7-6(6)
2020-09-28Roland GarrosQFclayStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-2 6-3
2020-09-21HamburgFclayAndrey Rublev6-4 3-6 7-5
2019-08-26US OpenR128hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(7) 7-5
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsSFhardStefanos Tsitsipas4-3(3) 3-4(5) 4-0 2-4 4-3(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Tsitsipas S.Rublev A.
52
Serve
14
0
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
89
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Slight edge
77
72
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4Clay Elo 1841
Surface ELO
4.6+32 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1902
7.2
H2H
2.8
8.0
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.2
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
93

Tsitsipas S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%