Maria Sakkari vs Madison KeysMadrid Round of 64

Madrid · WTA · Round of 64
#37WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 28 April 2022
clay
#23WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Sakkari M.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Keys M.
Sakkari M.
68662
Keys M.
710341

Maria Sakkari defeated Madison Keys 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Madrid round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, defending last year's round of 64. Maria Sakkari extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-31WashingtonQFhardMaria Sakkari6-3 6-3
2021-03-01DohaR16hardMaria Sakkari6-2 6-2
2020-01-20Australian OpenR32hardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
94
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Even
87
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 24 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1754
Surface ELO
6.5+140 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
4.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
84

Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw