Naoki Nakagawa vs Sho ShimabukuroCuernavaca CH Qualifying Round 1

Cuernavaca CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 April 2022
hard
#95ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Nakagawa N.
6-4 7-5
Shimabukuro S.
Nakagawa N.
672
Shimabukuro S.
450

Naoki Nakagawa defeated Sho Shimabukuro 6-4 7-5 in the Cuernavaca CH qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #95.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakagawa N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Shimabukuro S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (122 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
42
Break points saved·Dominant
57
88
Break points won·Dominant
1
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
50
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
17
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Hard Elo 1271
Surface ELO
8.8+335 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1289
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Shimabukuro S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast