Sebastian Baez vs Frances Tiafoe — Estoril Final

Estoril · ATP · Final
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 April 2022
clay
Frances Tiafoe
USA5
Frances Tiafoe
#17ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Baez S.
6-3 6-2
Tiafoe F.
Baez S.
662
Tiafoe F.
320

Sebastian Baez defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-2 in the Estoril final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Tiafoe F.
1
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Baez S.Tiafoe F.
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
8.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Baez S.Tiafoe F.
Clutch Rating·Even
87
83
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
86
57
Deciding sets·Even
88
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Tiafoe F.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
6.3+110 Clay Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1918
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
8.1
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Baez S.Tiafoe F.
Freshness·Clear edge
96
79

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Baez S.
Tiafoe F.[5]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Tiafoe F.[5]
Korda S.[8]
4-67-626-4
Baez S.
Ramos A.[6]
6-36-776-0
Quarter-finals
Baez S.
Gasquet R.
3-66-16-4
Korda S.[8]
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
6-26-2
Ramos A.[6]
Verdasco F.
6-26-2
Tiafoe F.[5]
Davidovich Fokina A.[4]
7-655-77-5
R16
Davidovich Fokina A.[4]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-37-65
Baez S.
Cilic M.[3]
1-66-16-4
Gasquet R.
Dellien H.
7-656-2
Korda S.[8]
Bonzi B.
6-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[1]
Taberner C.
1-66-26-2
Tiafoe F.[5]
Borges N.
7-644-66-0
Ramos A.[6]
Kwon S.
5-76-16-2
Verdasco F.
Cuevas P.
6-26-3
R32
Borges N.
Andujar P.
6-43-0
Baez S.
Sousa J.
6-16-3
Zapata Miralles B.
Coria F.
6-46-3
Taberner C.
Harris L.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.
Paul T.[7]
7-56-2
Bonzi B.
Thiem D.
6-37-69
Korda S.[8]
Herbert P.
6-26-4
Tiafoe F.[5]
Lajovic D.
2-67-56-0
Dellien H.
Vesely J.
6-36-3
Ramos A.[6]
Thompson J.
6-43-66-4
Kwon S.
Paire B.
6-47-5
Cuevas P.
Carballes Baena R.
6-33-67-64