Sebastian Baez vs Marin CilicEstoril Round of 16

Estoril · ATP · Round of 16
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 April 2022
clay
#88ATP
1800ELO
1701Clay ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Baez S.
1-6 6-1 6-4
Cilic M.
Baez S.
1662
Cilic M.
6141

Sebastian Baez defeated Marin Cilic 1-6 6-1 6-4 in the Estoril round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Serve advantage — Cilic M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Cilic M.
1
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
64%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
10.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 137). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
76
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
86
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
94
Tiebreaks·Even
83
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+16 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Clay Elo 1701
4.1Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1800
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
98

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast