Andrey Rublev vs Novak DjokovicBelgrade Final

Belgrade · ATP · Final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 April 2022
hard
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Rublev A.
6-2 6-7 6-0
Djokovic N.
Rublev A.
66462
Djokovic N.
27701

Andrey Rublev defeated Novak Djokovic 6-2 6-7 6-0 in the Belgrade final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 5–0, defending last year's semi-final. Andrey Rublev claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersSFhardNovak Djokovic5-7 7-6(3) 7-5
2023-07-03WimbledonQFgrassNovak Djokovic4-6 6-1 6-4 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenQFhardNovak Djokovic6-1 6-2 6-4
2022-11-14Tour FinalsRRhardNovak Djokovic6-4 6-1
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Djokovic N.
55
Serve
68
52
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Even
67%
70%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.9
7.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
99
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
72
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
49

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast