Pablo Carreno Busta vs Casper RuudBarcelona Quarter-final

Barcelona · ATP · Quarter-final
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 April 2022
clay
#12ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Carreno Busta P.
4-6 7-6 6-3
Ruud C.
Carreno Busta P.
471062
Ruud C.
66831

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Casper Ruud 4-6 7-6 6-3 in the Barcelona quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Pablo Carreno Busta narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR16clayCasper Ruud7-6(4) 5-7 7-5
2019-07-29KitzbuhelR32clayCasper Ruud6-1 3-6 6-1
2017-02-20Rio de JaneiroSFclayPablo Carreno Busta2-6 7-5 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Carreno Busta P.Ruud C.
Serve
54
Return
69

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
91
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
61
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1767
Surface ELO
7.7+206 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1983
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.5
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
97

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 64%