Keegan Smith vs Shintaro MochizukiMexico City CH Qualifying Round 2

Mexico City CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#204ATP
1421ELO
1254Clay ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 4 April 2022
clay
#115ATP
1475ELO
1433Clay ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Smith K.
6-3 2-6 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Smith K.
6262
Mochizuki S.
3641

Keegan Smith defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the Mexico City CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

  • Match story: Keegan Smith closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith K.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
71%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
74
Break points won·Dominant
3
55
Deciding sets·Even
48
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.7Clay Elo 1254
Surface ELO
8.3+179 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
86

Smith K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast