Jakub Paul vs Aleksandar KovacevicLugano CH Qualifying Round 1

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#543ATP
1389ELO
1340Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 March 2022
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Paul J.
7-6 6-3
Kovacevic A.
Paul J.
7762
Kovacevic A.
6530

Jakub Paul defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-6 6-3 in the Lugano CH qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Paul closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Paul J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul J.Kovacevic A.
Serve
52
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
9.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (137 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
21
53
Break points saved·Dominant
62
96
Break points won·Clear edge
20
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1340
Surface ELO
8.3+271 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1389
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
7.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
3.7
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Kovacevic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast