Facundo Bagnis vs Juan Pablo VarillasPereira CH Semi-final

Pereira CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#431ATP
1591ELO
1584Clay ELO
36 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 March 2022
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Bagnis F.
6-4 6-4
Varillas J.
Bagnis F.
662
Varillas J.
440

Facundo Bagnis defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-4 in the Pereira CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Facundo Bagnis had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 9 on clay. Facundo Bagnis claimed a first win over Juan Pablo Varillas in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Facundo Bagnis edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-17GstaadR16clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-2 6-1
2022-01-31CordobaR32clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-4 5-7 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Bagnis F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bagnis F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
54
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
80
Break points won·Slight edge
35
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+153 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1431
6.4Overall Elo 1591
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1440
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
8.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
0.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
62

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast