Heather Watson vs Arantxa RusMiami Round of 128

Miami · WTA · Round of 128
#527WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2022
hard
#178WTA
1511ELO
1503Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLL
Watson H.
6-7 7-5 6-4
Rus A.
Watson H.
65762
Rus A.
77541

Heather Watson defeated Arantxa Rus 6-7 7-5 6-4 in the Miami round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arantxa Rus came in ranked #178, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watson H.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rus A.

Rus A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (149 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
20
15
Break points saved·Slight edge
43
51
Break points won·Clear edge
62
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
16
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
12
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+46 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1503
5.8Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1511
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Watson H.: 17 days rest · Rus A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw