Alexei Popyrin vs Lorenzo MusettiMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2022
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Popyrin A.
7-5 7-6
Musetti L.
Popyrin A.
7772
Musetti L.
5650

Alexei Popyrin defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-5 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-02-24DubaiQ1hardLorenzo Musetti6-3 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Musetti L.
40
Serve
54
11
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
89
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
6
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
7.9+123 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1869
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.0
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
7.1
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Popyrin A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 57%