Lucia Bronzetti vs Ajla Tomljanovic — Miami Round of 128

Miami · WTA · Round of 128
Lucia Bronzetti
ITA
Lucia Bronzetti
#125WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2022
hard
Ajla Tomljanovic
AUS
Ajla Tomljanovic
#94WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Bronzetti L.
4-6 7-6 6-2
Tomljanovic A.
Bronzetti L.
47862
Tomljanovic A.
66621

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 4-6 7-6 6-2 in the Miami round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ajla Tomljanovic came in ranked #94, defending last year's round of 64. Lucia Bronzetti extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-07WuhanR64hardLucia Bronzetti6-1 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bronzetti L.Tomljanovic A.
12
Serve
26
14
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bronzetti L.Tomljanovic A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 177). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bronzetti L.Tomljanovic A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
71
Break points saved·Even
74
73
Break points won·Slight edge
84
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
60
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bronzetti L.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Tomljanovic A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
7.8+172 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
3.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bronzetti L.Tomljanovic A.
Freshness·Even
100
97

Bronzetti L.: 17 days rest · Tomljanovic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[2]
Osaka N.
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[2]
Pegula J.[16]
6-27-5
Osaka N.
Bencic B.[22]
4-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[2]
Kvitova P.[28]
6-36-3
Pegula J.[16]
Badosa P.[5]
4-1
Osaka N.
Collins D.[9]
6-26-1
Bencic B.[22]
Saville D.
6-16-2
R16
Bencic B.[22]
Sasnovich A.
6-26-3
Saville D.
Bronzetti L.
5-76-47-5
Osaka N.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-36-4
Collins D.[9]
Jabeur O.[8]
6-26-4
Badosa P.[5]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[28]
Kudermetova V.[21]
7-656-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Gauff C.[14]
6-36-1
Pegula J.[16]
Kalinina A.
6-0
R32
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
W/O
Bronzetti L.
Kalinskaya A.
W/O
Jabeur O.[8]
Kanepi K.
6-36-0
Sasnovich A.
Begu I.
7-56-746-4
Bencic B.[22]
Watson H.
6-46-1
Riske Amritraj A.
Li A.
6-23-66-3
Collins D.[9]
Zvonareva V.
6-16-4
Badosa P.[5]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[16]
Rybakina E.[17]
6-36-4
Kalinina A.
Haddad Maia B.
2-66-46-2
Kvitova P.[28]
Davis L.
7-56-1
Saville D.
Siniakova K.
6-01-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Azarenka V.[12]
6-23-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Brengle M.
6-06-3
Kudermetova V.[21]
Rogers S.
6-17-5
Gauff C.[14]
Zhang S.
7-617-5
R64
Kudermetova V.[21]
Galfi D.
5-1
Kanepi K.
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
3-67-56-0
Sasnovich A.
Kasatkina D.[25]
7-656-4
Siniakova K.
Raducanu E.[11]
3-66-47-5
Begu I.
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-4
Bencic B.[22]
Kostyuk M.
6-36-1
Saville D.
Tan H.
6-46-2
Bronzetti L.
Voegele S.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.
Pliskova K.[6]
6-36-3
Muchova K.
Fernandez L.[18]
6-47-63
Collins D.[9]
Bondar A.
6-33-66-4
Zvonareva V.
Zidansek T.[19]
6-36-2
Jabeur O.[8]
Linette M.
7-616-2
Badosa P.[5]
Bouzkova M.
7-57-5
Putintseva Y.
Tsurenko L.
6-34-67-5
Fruhvirtova L.
Mertens E.[20]
7-52-66-1
Azarenka V.[12]
Alexandrova E.
6-42-67-65
Pegula J.[16]
Stephens S.
6-16-4
Rybakina E.[17]
Ruse E.
6-47-5
Kalinina A.
Keys M.[26]
3-66-36-4
Haddad Maia B.
Sakkari M.[4]
4-66-16-2
Davis L.
Hunter S.
6-46-1
Kvitova P.[28]
Burel C.
6-13-66-3
Rogers S.
Ostapenko J.[10]
6-37-60
Swiatek I.[2]
Golubic V.
6-26-0
Brengle M.
Samsonova L.[29]
6-46-0
Watson H.
Svitolina E.[15]
4-66-37-64
Osaka N.
Kerber A.[13]
6-26-3
Zhang S.
Cirstea S.[24]
6-16-1
Riske Amritraj A.
Cornet A.[31]
6-26-2
Gauff C.[14]
Wang Q.
7-56-4
Li A.
Kontaveit A.[3]
6-03-66-4
R128
Kanepi K.
Zanevska M.
6-2
Haddad Maia B.
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-626-2
Bondar A.
Garcia C.
7-5
Begu I.
Baptiste H.
6-766-16-1
Sasnovich A.
Wang X.
7-666-4
Putintseva Y.
Schunk N.
4-66-36-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Kovinic D.
6-06-4
Stephens S.
Udvardy P.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Konjuh A.
6-36-4
Burel C.
Frech M.
6-37-5
Rogers S.
Anisimova A.
3-66-06-3
Wang Q.
Krueger A.
4-67-56-2
Brengle M.
Eala A.
6-26-1
Golubic V.
Flipkens K.
6-44-66-4
Watson H.
Rus A.
6-757-56-4
Siniakova K.
Marino R.
3-66-26-1
Li A.
Sherif M.
2-66-36-4
Riske Amritraj A.
Teichmann J.
7-656-3
Zvonareva V.
Doi M.
6-46-1
Muchova K.
Martincova T.
7-637-63
Linette M.
Zheng Q.
7-646-4
Zhang S.
Tauson C.
6-44-62-1
Galfi D.
Kucova K.
6-06-0
Kalinina A.
Gorgodze E.
6-23-66-3
Davis L.
Yuan Y.
6-46-1
Kalinskaya A.
Montgomery R.
4-66-47-64
Osaka N.
Sharma A.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.
Van Uytvanck A.
4-66-26-1
Saville D.
Minnen G.
7-56-3
Bronzetti L.
Tomljanovic A.
4-67-666-2
Bouzkova M.
Siegemund L.
6-16-2
Alexandrova E.
Paolini J.
6-16-2