Naomi Osaka vs Belinda BencicMiami Semi-final

Miami · WTA · Semi-final
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2022
hard
#14WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Osaka N.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Bencic B.
Osaka N.
4662
Bencic B.
6341

Naomi Osaka defeated Belinda Bencic 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Miami semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Belinda Bencic came in leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 32. Naomi Osaka claimed a first win over Belinda Bencic in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenR32hardBelinda Bencic7-6(3) 0-0 RET
2019-08-26US OpenR16hardBelinda Bencic7-5 6-4
2019-05-06MadridQFclayBelinda Bencic3-6 6-2 7-5
2019-03-04Indian WellsR16hardBelinda Bencic6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Bencic B.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Bencic B.
70
Serve
57
60
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (118 vs 173). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Even
97
94
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1922
Surface ELO
5.6+31 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1989
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.2
Country comfort
5.5
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
85

Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[2]
Pegula J.[16]
6-27-5
Osaka N.
Bencic B.[22]
4-66-36-4