Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jasmine Paolini — Miami Round of 128

Miami · WTA · Round of 128
Ekaterina Alexandrova
RUS
Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2022
hard
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Alexandrova E.
6-1 6-2
Paolini J.
Alexandrova E.
662
Paolini J.
120

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-1 6-2 in the Miami round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alexandrova E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alexandrova E.Paolini J.
52
Serve
31
42
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Alexandrova E.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alexandrova E.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
87
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alexandrova E.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Paolini J.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1800
Surface ELO
6.0+73 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1905
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.6
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
6.6
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Alexandrova E.Paolini J.
Freshness·Clear edge
90
76

Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[2]
Osaka N.
6-46-0
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[2]
Pegula J.[16]
6-27-5
Osaka N.
Bencic B.[22]
4-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[2]
Kvitova P.[28]
6-36-3
Pegula J.[16]
Badosa P.[5]
4-1
Osaka N.
Collins D.[9]
6-26-1
Bencic B.[22]
Saville D.
6-16-2
R16
Bencic B.[22]
Sasnovich A.
6-26-3
Saville D.
Bronzetti L.
5-76-47-5
Osaka N.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-36-4
Collins D.[9]
Jabeur O.[8]
6-26-4
Badosa P.[5]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[28]
Kudermetova V.[21]
7-656-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Gauff C.[14]
6-36-1
Pegula J.[16]
Kalinina A.
6-0
R32
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
W/O
Bronzetti L.
Kalinskaya A.
W/O
Jabeur O.[8]
Kanepi K.
6-36-0
Sasnovich A.
Begu I.
7-56-746-4
Bencic B.[22]
Watson H.
6-46-1
Riske Amritraj A.
Li A.
6-23-66-3
Collins D.[9]
Zvonareva V.
6-16-4
Badosa P.[5]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[16]
Rybakina E.[17]
6-36-4
Kalinina A.
Haddad Maia B.
2-66-46-2
Kvitova P.[28]
Davis L.
7-56-1
Saville D.
Siniakova K.
6-01-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Azarenka V.[12]
6-23-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Brengle M.
6-06-3
Kudermetova V.[21]
Rogers S.
6-17-5
Gauff C.[14]
Zhang S.
7-617-5
R64
Kudermetova V.[21]
Galfi D.
5-1
Kanepi K.
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
3-67-56-0
Sasnovich A.
Kasatkina D.[25]
7-656-4
Siniakova K.
Raducanu E.[11]
3-66-47-5
Begu I.
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-4
Bencic B.[22]
Kostyuk M.
6-36-1
Saville D.
Tan H.
6-46-2
Bronzetti L.
Voegele S.
6-26-1
Kalinskaya A.
Pliskova K.[6]
6-36-3
Muchova K.
Fernandez L.[18]
6-47-63
Collins D.[9]
Bondar A.
6-33-66-4
Zvonareva V.
Zidansek T.[19]
6-36-2
Jabeur O.[8]
Linette M.
7-616-2
Badosa P.[5]
Bouzkova M.
7-57-5
Putintseva Y.
Tsurenko L.
6-34-67-5
Fruhvirtova L.
Mertens E.[20]
7-52-66-1
Azarenka V.[12]
Alexandrova E.
6-42-67-65
Pegula J.[16]
Stephens S.
6-16-4
Rybakina E.[17]
Ruse E.
6-47-5
Kalinina A.
Keys M.[26]
3-66-36-4
Haddad Maia B.
Sakkari M.[4]
4-66-16-2
Davis L.
Hunter S.
6-46-1
Kvitova P.[28]
Burel C.
6-13-66-3
Rogers S.
Ostapenko J.[10]
6-37-60
Swiatek I.[2]
Golubic V.
6-26-0
Brengle M.
Samsonova L.[29]
6-46-0
Watson H.
Svitolina E.[15]
4-66-37-64
Osaka N.
Kerber A.[13]
6-26-3
Zhang S.
Cirstea S.[24]
6-16-1
Riske Amritraj A.
Cornet A.[31]
6-26-2
Gauff C.[14]
Wang Q.
7-56-4
Li A.
Kontaveit A.[3]
6-03-66-4
R128
Kanepi K.
Zanevska M.
6-2
Haddad Maia B.
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-626-2
Bondar A.
Garcia C.
7-5
Begu I.
Baptiste H.
6-766-16-1
Sasnovich A.
Wang X.
7-666-4
Putintseva Y.
Schunk N.
4-66-36-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Kovinic D.
6-06-4
Stephens S.
Udvardy P.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Konjuh A.
6-36-4
Burel C.
Frech M.
6-37-5
Rogers S.
Anisimova A.
3-66-06-3
Wang Q.
Krueger A.
4-67-56-2
Brengle M.
Eala A.
6-26-1
Golubic V.
Flipkens K.
6-44-66-4
Watson H.
Rus A.
6-757-56-4
Siniakova K.
Marino R.
3-66-26-1
Li A.
Sherif M.
2-66-36-4
Riske Amritraj A.
Teichmann J.
7-656-3
Zvonareva V.
Doi M.
6-46-1
Muchova K.
Martincova T.
7-637-63
Linette M.
Zheng Q.
7-646-4
Zhang S.
Tauson C.
6-44-62-1
Galfi D.
Kucova K.
6-06-0
Kalinina A.
Gorgodze E.
6-23-66-3
Davis L.
Yuan Y.
6-46-1
Kalinskaya A.
Montgomery R.
4-66-47-64
Osaka N.
Sharma A.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.
Van Uytvanck A.
4-66-26-1
Saville D.
Minnen G.
7-56-3
Bronzetti L.
Tomljanovic A.
4-67-666-2
Bouzkova M.
Siegemund L.
6-16-2
Alexandrova E.
Paolini J.
6-16-2