Facundo Bagnis vs Sebastian Baez — Phoenix CH Round of 32

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ARG
Facundo Bagnis
#439ATP
1591ELO
1513Hard ELO
36 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 March 2022
hard
Sebastian Baez
ARG5
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Bagnis F.
2-6 6-3 6-4
Baez S.
Bagnis F.
2662
Baez S.
6341

Facundo Bagnis defeated Sebastian Baez 2-6 6-3 6-4 in the Phoenix CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bagnis F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bagnis F.

Serve advantage — Bagnis F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bagnis F.Baez S.
—
Serve
5
—
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bagnis F.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bagnis F.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
87
Break points saved·Even
92
96
Break points won·Dominant
36
86
Deciding sets·Even
89
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bagnis F.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Baez S.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1513
Surface ELO
7.4+196 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1591
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bagnis F.Baez S.
Freshness·
—
94

Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Kudla D.
Altmaier D.
2-66-26-3
Semi-finals
Altmaier D.
Broady L.
7-657-5
Kudla D.
Wolf J.
6-736-47-63
Quarter-finals
Wolf J.
Verdasco F.
7-56-4
Kudla D.
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Broady L.
Goffin D.[8]
2-66-37-5
Altmaier D.
Albot R.
6-47-5
R16
Kudla D.
Moraing M.
7-627-65
Wolf J.
Musetti L.[2]
6-36-2
Gasquet R.
Bagnis F.
6-26-0
Altmaier D.
Ruusuvuori E.[7]
6-27-5
Albot R.
Paire B.[1]
6-24-67-5
Broady L.
Rinderknech A.[3]
6-36-2
Verdasco F.
Majchrzak K.
2-66-47-65
Goffin D.[8]
Eubanks C.
7-623-66-4
R32
Kudla D.
Krueger M.
6-17-5
Bagnis F.
Baez S.[5]
2-66-36-4
Goffin D.[8]
Kovacevic A.
1-66-36-3
Eubanks C.
Simon G.
6-47-5
Altmaier D.
Vukic A.
6-13-66-4
Albot R.
Otte O.
4-66-46-3
Paire B.[1]
Nava E.
7-56-2
Moraing M.
Struff J.[4]
3-67-626-4
Gasquet R.
Kukushkin M.
6-756-16-1
Verdasco F.
Cecchinato M.
6-46-756-3
Ruusuvuori E.[7]
Nakashima B.
6-36-3
Rinderknech A.[3]
Cerundolo F.
1-66-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Gaston H.[6]
6-736-46-4
Broady L.
Cerundolo J.
6-16-2
Musetti L.[2]
Popyrin A.
6-26-2
Wolf J.
Purcell M.
6-16-3