Reilly Opelka vs Denis Shapovalov — Indian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Reilly Opelka
USA17
Reilly Opelka
#115ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
Denis Shapovalov
CAN13
Denis Shapovalov
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Opelka R.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Shapovalov D.
Opelka R.
64662
Shapovalov D.
77441

Reilly Opelka defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Reilly Opelka claimed a first win over Denis Shapovalov in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardDenis Shapovalov7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 6-4
2017-06-19Queen's ClubQ1grassDenis Shapovalov6-3 3-6 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Shapovalov D.
86
Serve
25
0
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.Shapovalov D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.9
8.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
6.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (127 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.Shapovalov D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
85
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
71
Deciding sets·Even
88
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Opelka R.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Shapovalov D.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1734
Surface ELO
5.6+41 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1771
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.8
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.9
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.7
Country comfort
5.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.Shapovalov D.
Freshness·
—
98

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%
Final
Fritz T.[20]
Nadal R.[4]
6-37-65
Semi-finals
Nadal R.[4]
Alcaraz C.[19]
6-44-66-3
Fritz T.[20]
Rublev A.[7]
7-56-4
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[20]
Kecmanovic M.
7-653-66-1
Alcaraz C.[19]
Norrie C.[12]
6-46-3
Nadal R.[4]
Kyrgios N.
7-605-76-4
Rublev A.[7]
Dimitrov G.[33]
7-56-2
R16
Nadal R.[4]
Opelka R.[17]
7-637-65
Kyrgios N.
Sinner J.[10]
W/O
Kecmanovic M.
Berrettini M.[6]
6-36-756-4
Alcaraz C.[19]
Monfils G.[26]
7-56-1
Norrie C.[12]
Brooksby J.
6-26-4
Fritz T.[20]
De Minaur A.[29]
3-66-47-65
Rublev A.[7]
Hurkacz H.[11]
7-656-4
Dimitrov G.[33]
Isner J.[23]
6-37-66
R32
Monfils G.[26]
Medvedev D.[1]
4-66-36-1
Alcaraz C.[19]
Bautista Agut R.[15]
6-26-0
Norrie C.[12]
Basilashvili N.[18]
3-66-36-1
Brooksby J.
Tsitsipas S.[5]
1-66-36-2
Nadal R.[4]
Evans D.[27]
7-56-3
Opelka R.[17]
Shapovalov D.[13]
6-746-46-4
Sinner J.[10]
Bonzi B.
7-653-66-4
Kyrgios N.
Ruud C.[8]
6-46-4
Berrettini M.[6]
Harris L.[30]
6-47-5
Kecmanovic M.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-637-5
Fritz T.[20]
Munar J.
6-42-67-62
De Minaur A.[29]
Paul T.
7-626-4
Rublev A.[7]
Tiafoe F.[28]
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.[11]
Johnson S.
7-676-3
Isner J.[23]
Schwartzman D.[14]
7-56-3
Dimitrov G.[33]
Bublik A.[31]
6-36-4
R64
Kyrgios N.
Delbonis F.[32]
6-26-2
Ruud C.[8]
Eubanks C.
7-656-2
Harris L.[30]
Bagnis F.
6-34-66-3
Kecmanovic M.
Cilic M.[24]
6-776-37-66
Van De Zandschulp B.
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
7-646-746-3
Munar J.
Carreno Busta P.[16]
4-66-47-64
Fritz T.[20]
Majchrzak K.
6-16-1
De Minaur A.[29]
Millman J.
7-646-3
Paul T.
Zverev A.[3]
6-24-67-62
Tiafoe F.[28]
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Johnson S.
Karatsev A.[22]
7-656-4
Hurkacz H.[11]
Otte O.
6-33-66-3
Schwartzman D.[14]
Ruusuvuori E.
5-76-36-3
Bublik A.[31]
Murray A.
7-696-3
Dimitrov G.[33]
Thompson J.
7-636-2
Basilashvili N.[18]
Fognini F.
W/O
Isner J.[23]
Querrey S.
7-667-62
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Sock J.
7-653-67-65
Berrettini M.[6]
Rune H.
6-34-66-4
Rublev A.[7]
Koepfer D.
7-56-4
Medvedev D.[1]
Machac T.
6-36-2
Monfils G.[26]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[19]
Mcdonald M.
6-36-3
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Wolf J.
6-36-737-65
Norrie C.[12]
Martinez P.
6-36-3
Brooksby J.
Khachanov K.[25]
6-06-3
Nadal R.[4]
Korda S.
6-21-67-63
Evans D.[27]
Coria F.
6-26-0
Opelka R.[17]
Musetti L.
6-16-4
Shapovalov D.[13]
Davidovich Fokina A.
4-66-46-2
Sinner J.[10]
Djere L.
6-36-3
Bonzi B.
Sonego L.[21]
6-36-4
R128
Ruusuvuori E.
Kohlschreiber P.
6-36-3
Machac T.
Popyrin A.
6-37-5
Mcdonald M.
Fucsovics M.
7-6117-5
Wolf J.
Gaston H.
7-56-4
Martinez P.
Sousa J.
6-47-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Sandgren T.
6-46-2
Coria F.
Cuevas P.
6-47-65
Musetti L.
Giron M.
6-37-5
Krajinovic F.
Lajovic D.
7-54-66-1
Nakashima B.
Mannarino A.
6-27-64
Sock J.
Cerundolo J.
6-16-1
Johnson S.
Altmaier D.
6-37-63
Fognini F.
Andujar P.
3-66-36-3
Brooksby J.
Carballes Baena R.
6-16-4
Korda S.
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Coric B.
6-756-07-5
Djere L.
Kwon S.
2-66-36-4
Bonzi B.
Rinderknech A.
6-37-5
Kyrgios N.
Baez S.
6-46-0
Eubanks C.
Cressy M.
5-77-686-4
Rune H.
Humbert U.
6-36-2
Bagnis F.
Laaksonen H.
6-37-64
Kecmanovic M.
Broady L.
6-44-66-4
Munar J.
Shang J.
6-36-4
Majchrzak K.
Bedene A.
6-17-5
Millman J.
Struff J.
7-666-4
Paul T.
Kukushkin M.
6-46-4
Koepfer D.
Paire B.
2-67-56-4
Otte O.
Gasquet R.
6-21-66-3
Querrey S.
Griekspoor T.
6-736-26-4
Murray A.
Daniel T.
1-66-26-4
Thompson J.
Goffin D.
4-67-57-63