Elise Mertens vs Marta KostyukIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Mertens E.
6-2 6-1
Kostyuk M.
Mertens E.
662
Kostyuk M.
210

Elise Mertens defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Elise Mertens claimed a first win over Marta Kostyuk in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12CincinnatiR64hardMarta Kostyuk6-4 2-6 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardMarta Kostyuk5-7 6-1 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Kostyuk M.
51
Serve
53
54
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.1
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
92
Break points saved·Even
90
93
Break points won·Even
96
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
75
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1847
Surface ELO
6.2+120 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
3.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
8.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
69

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw