Heather Watson vs Jule Niemeier — Monterrey Round of 32

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 32
Heather Watson
GBR
Heather Watson
#527WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 February 2022
hard
Jule Niemeier
GER
Jule Niemeier
#510WTA
1418ELO
1423Hard ELO
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
Watson H.
6-3 2-6 7-6
Niemeier J.
Watson H.
62772
Niemeier J.
36641

Heather Watson defeated Jule Niemeier 6-3 2-6 7-6 in the Monterrey round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jule Niemeier came in ranked #510, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Heather Watson narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Heather Watson closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-31PragueR32clayJule Niemeier6-2 6-3
2023-06-12NottinghamR32grassHeather Watson6-4 6-3
2022-06-27WimbledonR16grassJule Niemeier6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Watson H.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Niemeier J.

Niemeier J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Watson H.Niemeier J.
1st serve in·Even
58%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
6.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (149 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Watson H.Niemeier J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
20
12
Break points saved·Slight edge
43
33
Break points won·Clear edge
62
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watson H.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Niemeier J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
6.4+125 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1423
6.8Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1418
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.0
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watson H.Niemeier J.
Freshness·
100
—

Watson H.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw

Final
Fernandez L.[2]
Osorio C.[5]
6-756-47-63
Semi-finals
Osorio C.[5]
Parrizas Diaz N.[6]
6-46-4
Fernandez L.[2]
Haddad Maia B.
6-16-4
Quarter-finals
Haddad Maia B.
Bouzkova M.
4-66-47-67
Fernandez L.[2]
Wang Q.
7-646-4
Osorio C.[5]
Svitolina E.[1]
1-67-57-65
Parrizas Diaz N.[6]
Sorribes Tormo S.[4]
6-31-66-4
R16
Haddad Maia B.
Wang X.
6-26-2
Sorribes Tormo S.[4]
Tan H.
6-26-2
Wang Q.
Sherif M.
6-06-726-3
Osorio C.[5]
Zacarias M.
7-626-3
Bouzkova M.
Martic P.
6-46-2
Svitolina E.[1]
Tomova V.
7-633-66-2
Parrizas Diaz N.[6]
Watson H.
6-47-62
Fernandez L.[2]
Zheng Q.
6-14-67-63
R32
Osorio C.[5]
Frech M.
6-37-66
Sorribes Tormo S.[4]
Rakhimova K.
7-56-726-1
Watson H.
Niemeier J.
6-32-67-64
Parrizas Diaz N.[6]
Doi M.
6-26-1
Martic P.
Keys M.[3]
5-77-636-3
Svitolina E.[1]
Potapova A.
6-26-1
Tomova V.
Parry D.
6-46-0
Tan H.
Zarazua R.
6-01-0
Zheng Q.
Bronzetti L.
6-26-3
Fernandez L.[2]
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-2
Zacarias M.
Navarro E.
6-16-736-3
Wang Q.
Galfi D.
6-706-16-4
Sherif M.
Mendez S.
6-16-726-4
Wang X.
Li A.[8]
6-26-1
Haddad Maia B.
Udvardy P.
1-66-17-5
Bouzkova M.
Errani S.
4-66-26-4