Jelle Sels vs Francesco MaestrelliForli 5 CH Round of 32

Forli 5 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#524ATP
1313ELO
1333Hard ELO
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#149ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Sels J.
7-6 6-3
Maestrelli F.
Sels J.
7762
Maestrelli F.
6530

Jelle Sels defeated Francesco Maestrelli 7-6 6-3 in the Forli 5 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

  • Match story: Jelle Sels closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sels J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sels J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
61
83
Break points won·Slight edge
4
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1333
Surface ELO
7.9+218 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1313
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Sels J.: 20 days rest · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast