Harmony Tan vs Madison Keys — Guadalajara Round of 32

Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 32
Harmony Tan
FRA
Harmony Tan
#194WTA
1585ELO
1547Hard ELO
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
Madison Keys
USA2
Madison Keys
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Tan H.
6-4 1-6 6-1
Keys M.
Tan H.
6162
Keys M.
4611

Harmony Tan defeated Madison Keys 6-4 1-6 6-1 in the Guadalajara round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23.

Key context

  • Match story: Harmony Tan came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 1–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tan H.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tan H.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tan H.Keys M.
—
Serve
36
—
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Tan H.Keys M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tan H.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
94
Break points saved·Dominant
71
96
Break points won·Clear edge
74
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
23
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tan H.
2.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
Keys M.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.3Hard Elo 1547
Surface ELO
9.7+373 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1987
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tan H.Keys M.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Tan H.: 18 days rest · Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Stephens S.[6]
Bouzkova M.
7-51-66-2
Semi-finals
Bouzkova M.
Wang Q.
6-36-3
Stephens S.[6]
Kalinskaya A.
3-67-5
Quarter-finals
Stephens S.[6]
Saville D.
4-66-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Osorio C.[4]
6-46-1
Wang Q.
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-3
Bouzkova M.
Sorribes Tormo S.[3]
6-46-1
R16
Saville D.
Dolehide C.
6-16-3
Kalinskaya A.
Wang X.
6-40-66-4
Sorribes Tormo S.[3]
Frech M.
6-06-2
Schmiedlova A.
Potapova A.
6-37-65
Wang Q.
Tan H.
6-46-2
Stephens S.[6]
Paquet C.
7-56-4
Bouzkova M.
Bronzetti L.
7-626-2
Osorio C.[4]
Baptiste H.
1-66-36-3
R32
Potapova A.
Tsurenko L.
6-42-2
Saville D.
Raducanu E.[1]
5-77-644-3
Sorribes Tormo S.[3]
Volynets K.
6-46-1
Dolehide C.
Zhu L.
4-66-36-4
Kalinskaya A.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-32-66-2
Bouzkova M.
Doi M.[7]
4-67-56-4
Schmiedlova A.
Parrizas Diaz N.[5]
6-16-4
Wang Q.
Davis L.
6-26-1
Stephens S.[6]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-26-2
Bronzetti L.
Mcnally C.
6-756-36-3
Wang X.
Udvardy P.
6-44-66-1
Frech M.
Zarazua R.
7-654-66-4
Paquet C.
Masarova R.
7-57-5
Baptiste H.
Hruncakova V.
6-36-3
Osorio C.[4]
Tomova V.
6-46-3
Tan H.
Keys M.[2]
6-41-66-1