Jannik Sinner vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Sinner J.
4-6 7-6 6-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Sinner J.
47862
Davidovich Fokina A.
66631

Jannik Sinner defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 4-6 7-6 6-3 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Davidovich Fokina A.
100
Serve
40
100
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+421 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1842
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1893
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
4.5
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.3
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
53
70

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 63%