Marcos Giron vs Pablo Carreno BustaAcapulco Round of 16

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 16
#87ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Giron M.
6-7 6-4 7-6
Carreno Busta P.
Giron M.
676772
Carreno Busta P.
794641

Marcos Giron defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-7 6-4 7-6 in the Acapulco round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Giron M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Giron M.Carreno Busta P.
29
Serve
21
45
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
78
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Clear edge
42
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
56
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
4.8+40 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1801
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Minutes 14d
8.2
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
92

Giron M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 52%