Lucia Bronzetti vs Caty McnallyGuadalajara Round of 32

Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 32
#139WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#57WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Bronzetti L.
6-7 6-3 6-3
Mcnally C.
Bronzetti L.
65662
Mcnally C.
77331

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Caty Mcnally 6-7 6-3 6-3 in the Guadalajara round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #57, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bronzetti L.Mcnally C.
12
Serve
26
14
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
73
Break points saved·Even
74
73
Break points won·Clear edge
84
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
60
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 182 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
7.7+180 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
3.3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest · Mcnally C.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast