Zizou Bergs vs Matteo ArnaldiForli 5 CH Round of 32

Forli 5 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#35ATP
1808ELO
1757Hard ELO
$995kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Bergs Z.
6-4 7-5
Arnaldi M.
Bergs Z.
672
Arnaldi M.
450

Zizou Bergs defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 7-5 in the Forli 5 CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bergs Z.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Serve advantage — Bergs Z.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bergs Z.Arnaldi M.
25
Serve
23
40
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.6
5.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
69
78
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Dominant
21
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
86
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+25 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1732
5.9Overall Elo 1808
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1830
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
1.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3.2
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
97

Bergs Z.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast