Yosuke Watanuki vs Francesco MaestrelliForli 4 CH Qualifying Round 2

Forli 4 CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 February 2022
hard
#149ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Watanuki Y.
6-3 2-6 6-4
Maestrelli F.
Watanuki Y.
6262
Maestrelli F.
3641

Yosuke Watanuki defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the Forli 4 CH qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

  • Match story: Yosuke Watanuki closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watanuki Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Serve advantage — Watanuki Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
52
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
83
Break points won·Slight edge
20
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
61
83
Tiebreaks·Even
81
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1531
Surface ELO
5.1+20 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1541
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
97

Watanuki Y.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast