Aslan Karatsev vs Holger RuneMarseille Round of 16

Marseille · ATP · Round of 16
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 February 2022
hard
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Karatsev A.
6-3 7-6
Rune H.
Karatsev A.
6772
Rune H.
3610

Aslan Karatsev defeated Holger Rune 6-3 7-6 in the Marseille round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Aslan Karatsev claimed a first win over Holger Rune in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR64clayHolger Rune7-6(1) 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Karatsev A.Rune H.
Serve
47
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Dominant
39
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
4.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
11°CRain
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 90%