Thiago Monteiro vs Sebastian BaezRio de Janeiro Round of 32

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Round of 32
#292ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 February 2022
clay
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Monteiro T.
1-6 6-4 6-4
Baez S.
Monteiro T.
1662
Baez S.
6441

Thiago Monteiro defeated Sebastian Baez 1-6 6-4 6-4 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Thiago Monteiro claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR64claySebastian Baez6-4 6-3
2024-02-19Rio de JaneiroQFclaySebastian Baez6-4 1-6 6-2
2022-02-21SantiagoQFclaySebastian Baez7-5 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Monteiro T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Monteiro T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Monteiro T.Baez S.
Serve
1
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
87
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Dominant
16
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
68
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1554
Surface ELO
6.8+164 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1568
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1759
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.9
Surface form
7.2
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
4.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.7
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
95

Monteiro T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d) · Baez S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 67%