Sebastian Baez vs Yannick HanfmannRio de Janeiro Qualifying Round 2

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 February 2022
clay
#51ATP
1781ELO
1741Clay ELO
$596kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLL
Baez S.
2-6 7-6 7-6
Hanfmann Y.
Baez S.
277772
Hanfmann Y.
662621

Sebastian Baez defeated Yannick Hanfmann 2-6 7-6 7-6 in the Rio de Janeiro qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Yannick Hanfmann came in ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Sebastian Baez claimed a first win over Yannick Hanfmann in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelR16clayYannick Hanfmann5-7 6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Hanfmann Y.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Serve advantage — Hanfmann Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Hanfmann Y.
1
Serve
61
44
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
5.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
61
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Dominant
86
26
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
5.5+24 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1781
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
5.3
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
6.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Baez S.: 15 days rest · Hanfmann Y.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 67%