Alex De Minaur vs Mackenzie McdonaldRotterdam Round of 16

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 16
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 February 2022
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
De Minaur A.
7-6 1-6 6-4
Mcdonald M.
De Minaur A.
78162
Mcdonald M.
66641

Alex De Minaur defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-6 1-6 6-4 in the Rotterdam round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 7–6 1–6 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardAlex De Minaur6-2 6-2 6-3
2018-09-24ShenzhenR16hardAlex De Minaur1-6 7-6(1) 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Mcdonald M.
48
Serve
25
80
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
56
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
97
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.1+331 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Hard Elo 1604
9.3Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.3
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
87

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 73%