Kaja Juvan vs Caty McnallySt. Petersburg Qualifying Final

St. Petersburg · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#127WTA
1696ELO
1637Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 February 2022
hard
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Juvan K.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Mcnally C.
Juvan K.
6362
Mcnally C.
4631

Kaja Juvan defeated Caty Mcnally 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the St. Petersburg qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #50, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Kaja Juvan claimed a first win over Caty Mcnally in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Kaja Juvan closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20GuangzhouR32hardCaty Mcnally6-3 1-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Juvan K.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Juvan K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Juvan K.Mcnally C.
Serve
26
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (167 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
58
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
73
Break points won·Even
95
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Mcnally C.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast